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This year’s MTV VMA nominations have come out, and guess who came out ahead? Surprisingly, not Adele. Adele got the second-most nominations with eight noms, but Beyonce got 11 nominations, a career-best. Not only that, but Beyonce and Adele are up against each other in several categories, including the big one, Video of the Year. The good news is that other artists really love and respect Adele, so if Adele wins, there won’t be hard feelings. And if Beyonce wins, Adele won’t be mad because she absolutely adores Queen Bey and Lemonade. Here are some of the big noms (you can see the full list here):

Video of the Year
•”Hello” – Adele
•”Formation” – Beyoncé
•”Hotline Bling” – Drake
•”Sorry” – Justin Bieber
•”Famous” – Kanye West

Best Female Video
•”Hello” – Adele
•”Hold Up” – Beyoncé
•”Cheap Thrills” – Sia
•”Into You” – Ariana Grande
•”Work” – Rihanna ft. Drake

Best Male Video
•”Hotline Bling” – Drake
•”Don’t” – Bryson Tiller
•”This Is What You Came For” – Calvin Harris ft. Rihanna
•”Famous” – Kanye West
•”Can’t Feel My Face” – The Weeknd

Best Collaboration

•”Freedom” – Beyoncé ft. Kendrick Lamar
•”Work From Home” – Fifth Harmony ft. Ty Dolla $ign
•”Let Me Love You ” – Ariana Grande ft. Lil Wayne
•”This Is What You Came For – Calvin Harris ft. Rihanna
•”Work” – Rihanna ft. Drake

Best Hip Hop Video
•”Hotline Bling” – Drake
•”Panda” – Desiigner
•”Don’t” – Bryson Tiller
•”Angels ” – Chance the Rapper ft. Saba
•”Watch Out ” – 2 Chainz

Best Pop Video
•”Hello” – Adele
•”Formation” – Beyoncé
•”Sorry” – Justin Bieber
•”Wild Things” – Alessia Cara
•”Into You” – Ariana Grande

Breakthrough Long Form Video
•The Odyssey – Florence + The Machine
•Lemonade – Beyoncé
•PURPOSE: The Movement – Justin Bieber
•Royalty – Chris Brown
•Blue Neighbourhood Trilogy – Troye Sivan

I think it’s more than likely that Beyonce will take home the most awards, including Video of the Year, and absolutely Best Collaboration, because OMG “Freedom” is one of her best songs ever and Kendrick Lamar is everything too. I predict Adele will win one or two. I predict Kanye West won’t win anything for “Famous,” but the fact that he was nominated for that song and video in particular is pretty interesting, isn’t it? More analysis to come on the Taylor Swift side of things.

This year’s VMAs are going down on Sunday, August 28th at 9 pm. And in case anyone is keeping track, this year the Emmys are scheduled for September 18th. So we won’t have some crazy scheduling conflict.

Last thing: These are some photos of Beyonce out in Paris yesterday. Her ensemble… my God. I like Beyonce, I think she’s amazing, but her style is just bad. The polka dots, the lucite chunky heel, the front slit… it’s awful.

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Photos courtesy of Fame/Flynet and WENN.
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